Record comparable observations

Write down the same entry, category and round at each observation. Keep the count and exact observation time together. If the round resets or the count is corrected, start a new comparison rather than treating the change as normal growth.

Use public totals only. A private spreadsheet of guesses is not a live feed, and a hidden leaderboard does not become visible through our tool. The manual tracker calculates from the figures you enter and does not save them.

A worked example

Suppose a fictional entry has 1,000 votes at 9 am and 1,120 at 9 pm in the same time zone. The observed change is 120 votes over 12 hours, equivalent to 240 per day if that short interval continued at the same rate.

That last condition matters. Activity may peak when a supporter message is shared and slow afterwards. An equivalent daily rate is a description of the interval, not a forecast for tomorrow. Compare several intervals and use a range of assumptions.

Try those figures in the manual vote-progress tracker. It rejects decreasing totals and observations recorded in the wrong order.

Use observations in a planning range

Keep your current count separate from the leader’s count. The range calculator projects the leader using your chosen growth assumptions, adds a buffer and subtracts your current votes. Its result can change as new observations arrive.

Record what changed rather than silently replacing an earlier target. If a competition switches to percentages or judging, stop applying a raw-count model. Ask the organiser for the relevant scoring method before treating the tally as a winning target.

Sources and examples

Examples explain voting formats; they do not imply affiliation or service approval. Check the current edition before acting.